Sunday, March 9, 2014

2014 Indian General Elections (15th Lok-Sabha) Opinion Poll Survey Results shows Narendra Modi will be the next PM of India NDA may cross 260 marks and BJP alone may get 221 seats far ahead of UPA which may land below 100 mark & Trinamool Congress (AITC) is emerging as third largest party.




The BJP looks set to emerge as the single largest party in 2014 with 221 seats, far ahead of the Congress tally of 82. But even with its allies, the BJP lead NDA looks likely to be just 9 seats short of a majority, which may not be a problem for them to gathered and to form a government with Sri Narendra Modi as Prime Minister
 
 Opinion poll survey also shows All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) is emerging as third largest party after BJP & Congress with 38 seats and biggest loser will be Congress & Third front.

The NDA is projected to get 264, UPA just 99, and Third Front will be the biggest failure with just 55 seats which leaves 125 seats with others (TMC, AIADMK etc). 

These are the major findings of the second nation wise survey & opinion polls by Ma Mati Manush Blog carried out throughout India during 20th Feb’14 to 7th Mar’14. This projection suggests that the majority mark of 272 in the 543-member Lok Sabha will not be achieved by any pre-election formation but NDA will be just short which I don’t think will be a problem for BJP to manage.

Details of Opinion Poll Survey Results by MMM-Blog is as follows:

NDA 264

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)    221
Lok Janshakti Party                   005
Shiromani Akali Dal                   005
Shiv Sena                                    012
Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (MDMK)                                        001
Haryana Janhit Congress          001
Telugu Desam Party                  013
Republican Party of India (Athvale) 001
Others + Independents              005

UPA 99

Indian National Congress                  082
Nationalist Congress Party               004
Rashtriya Janata Dal                          006
National Conference                         002
Indian Union Muslim League          002
Others                                                  003

Third Front 55

Communist Party of India (Marxist) CPI(M)  008
Communist Party of India CPI                           003          
Revolutionary Socialist Party                            001
All India Forward Bloc                                        001
Biju Janata Dal BJD                                             016
Janata Dal (United) JD(U)                                  008
Samajwadi Party                                                 015
Janata Dal (Secular) JD(S)                                 001
Jharkhand Vikas Morcha                                  001
Others                                                                   001

Others (TMC + AIADMK etc) 125

All India Trinamool Congress(AITC)  038
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(AIADMK)                            021
Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party(YSR Congress Party)                                   014
Bahujan Samaj Party(BSP)                 015
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(DMK)   009
Am Admi Party (AAP)                          004
Jharkhand Mukti Morcha(JMM)          003
Others + Independents                        021

2014 Projected results:

NDA 264
Others (TMC + AIADMK etc) 125
UPA 99
Third Front 55
This projection done with more than 20,000 sample size throughout India, error chance is +_ 10%
 


Viewers who wants to know about details seat wise prediction for West Bengal please read this post:

"2014 Lok Sabha polls biggest event so far: Anna Hazare backs Mamata Banerjee said India will change if Mamata Banerjee is at its helm. Anna appealed to all Indian to give at least 100 seats to Didi to change India and told in Mamata Banerjee, I found another person who thinks like me."
Details article link:
http://mamatimanushofwb.blogspot.in/2014/02/2014-lok-sabha-polls-biggest-event-so.html


Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" or from "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks plaese post. Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.

Saturday, March 8, 2014

2014 Indian Parliamentary (Lok Sabha) Election: Opinion poll survey of West Bengal is showing AITC (Trinamool Congress) is all set to win 34 Loksabha seats and we may see complete “Green-Wash” by Trinamool in West Bengal.


Didi (Mamata Banerjee) wave in West Bengal is on full form.
 
As per details survey carried out by this “Maa Mati Manush” (Ma Mati Manush) blog in all 42 parliamentary constituencies in West Bengal we found that even if TMC fights election alone they will get 34 seats(Including 6 marginal)  and Lefts will get 5 seats(Including 4 marginal) and Congress will get only 3 seats(Including 2 marginal)

Most significant thing is majority of seats going to Non-Trinamool parties are marginal, so we may see a complete “Green-Wash” in Bengal.

Our team carried out surveys in between third & fourth week of February’14 and visited all 42 constituencies in Bengal. We have collected samples of around 300 to 500 peoples from each constituency all total we have asked their opinion from around 20000 voters spread upon all sections of society.
 
 



These survey results show that Bengal’s public rejected all sorts of yellow journalism & paid stories by section of Bengal & National media. It is also proving that Bengal is disapproving so called Watermelon leaders of Bengal-Congress totally.
 
Hereunder I am giving projection for each Lok-Sabha seat of West Bengal.
West Bengal

S.No.
Costituency
Name of Member won in 2009
Party
2014 Projection
1
Alipurduars(ST)
RSP
 ?? (RSP)
2
Arambagh (SC)
CPI(M)
AITC
3
Asansol
CPI(M)
AITC
4
Baharampur
INC
INC
5
Balurghat
RSP
AITC
6
Bangaon(SC)
AITC
AITC
7
Bankura
CPI(M)
AITC
8
Barasat
AITC
AITC
9
Bardhaman Purba(SC)
CPI(M)
AITC
10
Bardhaman-Durgapur
CPI(M)
?? (AITC)
11
Barrackpur
AITC
AITC
12
Basirhat
AITC
AITC
13
Birbhum
AITC
AITC
14
Bishnupur(SC)
CPI(M)
?? (CPIM)
15
Bolpur(SC)
CPI(M)
CPI(M)
16
Coochbehar(SC)
AIFB
?? (AITC)
17
Darjeeling
BJP
?? (AITC)
18
Diamond Harbour
AITC
AITC
19
Dum Dum
AITC
?? (AITC)
20
Ghatal
CPI
AITC
21
Hooghly
AITC
AITC
22
Howrah
AITC
AITC
23
Jadavpur
AITC
 AITC
24
Jalpaiguri (SC)
CPI(M)
?? (CPIM)
25
Jangipur
INC
?? (INC)
26
Jaynagar(SC)
Ind.
?? (AITC)
27
Jhargram (ST)
CPI(M)
AITC
28
Kanthi
AITC
AITC
29
Kolkata Dakshin
AITC
AITC
30
Kolkata Uttar
AITC
AITC
31
Krishnanagar
AITC
AITC
32
Maldaha Dakshin
INC
AITC
33
Maldaha Uttar
INC
?? (INC)
34
Mathurapur (SC)
AITC
AITC
35
Medinipur
CPI
AITC
36
Murshidabad
INC
?? CPI(M)
37
Purulia
AIFB
AITC
38
Raiganj
INC
?? (AITC)
39
Ranaghat (SC)
AITC
AITC
40
Serampore
AITC
AITC
41
Tamluk
AITC
AITC
42
Uluberia
AITC
AITC



Where margin is less than 3% we have given “??” marks as we consider these seats are marginal.
Also please note that error chance is +_ 10%

For All India Opinion Poll Survey Result Please Click following link:




Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" or from "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks please post. 
Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.