Monday, March 28, 2016

“Saradha Scam” to “Narada Sting Video” nothing can dent Mamata Banerjee (TMC) ‘s popularity as current opinion poll survey for Bengal assembly Poll 2016 shows only slight dent on Trinamool Congress (TMC) ‘s vote bank and some rise in BJP’s vote; still TMC is all set to comeback in power comfortably.


Just a week ahead of Bengal assembly Poll’16 a recent opinion poll survey by “Ma Mati Manush” Blog with over 20000 sample size throughout West Bengal indicates that Narada Sting Video is benefiting BJP in both seat and vote%  but very little dent in TMC’s seats and vote% in coming assembly election.


You may remember, a sting operation that was launched by Narada News before the Lok Sabha polls in 2014 has apparently shows TMC leaders at various levels accepting or discussing ways to take bribe. This would have had a considerable impact, coming at the time it has, just before the elections. But then, whom can the electorate go to instead? The Congress' stint at the Centre showed the party can be equally corrupt, if not more, and there have been serious allegations against top state Congress leader Adhir Chowdhury. The Left has also been accused of unleashing terror on the Opposition plus looting public money and conducting atrocities & genocides.


The Trinamool has denied the authenticity of the Narada video, with leaders including Derek O’Brien, Mukul Roy and Partha Chatterjee, maintaining the footage was doctored all through Monday. They further claimed it was part of a political conspiracy by a united opposition that was incapable of fighting the ruling party politically.


Remember before Loksabha Poll 2014 Saradha issue came up; and the last proof of political immunity for the TMC came in the second half of 2014 during the civic polls when it swept the hustings too. By this time, the CBI investigation had very little evidence to indicate that some ruling party leaders were part of the Saradha scam, and it didn’t seem to affect the Bengal electorate’s verdict.

So if Saradha is any benchmark, Narada is by far a weaker weapon to wreak electoral damage against the TMC which proved in our survey.


But five years on, has the Mamata government been able to deliver its promises? Have the hopes of the people been fulfilled? Has Poriborton happened in the real sense?

Evidence from the ground points towards positivity specially in rural areas. Rural infrastructure has been improved significantly. Also under Mamata’s rule 100days work, Kanyashree, Yuvashree  etc scheme was very successful and popular too. In spite of adverse media propaganda Bengal is growing so people is ignoring these politically motivated string operation or scams.

So now when West Bengal set to go to the polls from the first week of April, one feels that Mamata is set for a second term. The reason is simple: there is still no strong alternative, and a large section of the electorate is happy with Mamata's governance and development works.

Compare to our earlier poll of Feb’16 last week (http://mamatimanushofwb.blogspot.in/2016/03/west-bengal-assembly-election.html) it shows only 3% dent in TMC’s vote after Narada issue and significantly 3% rise in BJP’s vote. It resulting 12 seats loss by TMC and 9 seats gain for BJP. But still TMC is getting 190 out of 294 which is better than their 2011’s performance. Left & Congress‘s scenario is mostly unchanged.

Significantly this opinion poll result is very similar to our Dec’15 opinion poll (http://mamatimanushofwb.blogspot.in/2016/01/opinion-poll-survey-for-2016-west.html)
Now here is the result of our recent opinion poll (March 20th to 25th 2016) with comparison of our previous two polls.
 


Party             2016 Projection
                        Seats (Vote%)
           Dec’15      Feb’15          Mar’16
             (Post Malda) (General)     (Post Narada)
TMC     181 (44%)    202 (47%)   190 (44%)
 Left      50 (27%)       54 (29%)      54 (28%)
 Cong   33   (8%)        30 (7%)        29 (7%)
 BJP      28  (19%)      03 (12%)    12 (15%)
 Oth    02  (6%)         05 (5%)      09 (6%)

Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" or from "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks please post. 
Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.

Monday, March 14, 2016

After opinion polls indicates TMC’s victory a politically motivated suspicious String Operation Video alleged that Trinamool Congress Leaders are caught on camera. Some questions about video & official statement issued by (Derek O'Brien) All India Trinamool Congress


Just a day after Largest Opinion poll survey for 2016 West Bengal Assembly Election showed that TMC (Trinamool Congress) is coming back in power with huge majority (Link: http://mamatimanushofwb.blogspot.in/2016/03/west-bengal-assembly-election.html ) BJP who will probably win maximum 1% seats in West Bengal shows a alleged bribe video of 2 years back incidents in a Press Conference at Kolkata today. 


According to a “sting” video released by news portal “Narada” News 3 West Bengal ministers, some MPs and MLAs allegedly accepted bribes from a fictitious import-export company,. However, the Trinamool Congress (TMC) dismissed the video tape as “doctored”.

Narada News claimed to have conducted the operation over the last two years. The video’s release comes a month ahead of the West Bengal Assembly elections.
They are claiming to have 52Hrs recording out of which only 24min they have uploaded means it’s edited version where they have suppressed 51hrs 36min recording and this 24min may also be doctored.

I have 5 clear cut questions about this sting video:  

1. What was the benefit that was given to the org in lieu of money? 

2. Where are the evidences of misuse of office?

3. It is not illegal to accept money. If somebody gives me money, i would pay the taxes and accept the money. It is NOT A CRIMINAL OFFENCE to accept money. No where in the video it shows misuse of office for the money taken. Quid pro quo needs to be established.
 
4. The unregistered organization (2012) distributed cash worth of more than 30 lakhs. Where did they get the money? What is the source of funding? There should court monitored investigation for the money trail.
 
5. What did the org do with the video for the last 2 years??

Some people are also alleging that:
Mathew Samuel the man behind the operation outlook magazine 2014: poor fellow he was under tremendous pressure from BJP and CBI to make the doctored video http://www.outlookindia.com/.../after-eleven-years.../280773

Also as per "Narada.com" 's video they have given total 73Lc bribes (
http://www.epaper.eisamay.com/Details.aspx?id=21739&boxid=155415996 ) but as per their claim total string operation cost was 65Lc (
http://www.anandabazar.com/state/tmc-politicians-taking-bribes-ruling-party-in-great-trouble-1.332932# ) ... 

How is it possible???
 
Finally here is the official statement issued by (Derek O'Brien) All India Trinamool Congress.

"We have watched the video of the so-called ‘sting’ operation. There is no sting in it. We are completely dismissive about it.

All I can say to our shameless political opponents is, come, fight us politically. Do not take recourse to your dirty tricks department. The timing of the dirty tricks video too clearly indicates the devious motive behind it. Why was the organization who supposedly shot this video hiding the so-called ‘truth’ for more than two years and releasing it today?

We are focused on the upcoming elections and do not wish to be distracted by this smear campaign. We live in an age where technology is often abused.

This is a deliberate attempt to malign the All India Trinamool Congress. But the people of Bengal know better. They trust the credibility and credentials of Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress. After the people have spoken on 19 May, you will see for yourselves what the people of Bengal think of this so-called ‘sting’ operation."

 

Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" or from "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks please post. 
Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.

Saturday, March 12, 2016

West Bengal Assembly Election (Paschimbanga-Bidhansabha - পশ্চিমবঙ্গ বিধানসভা জনমত সমীক্ষা) is showing TMC (Trinamool Congress) is coming back in power defeating Congress (INC) & Left (CPIM) alliance.


Trinamool Congress (TMC) is coming back in power with a bang as Didi (Mamata Banerjee) magic in West Bengal is still on and people of West Bengal is all set to bring back TMC in power once again as per the largest opinion poll survey for West Bengal Assembly Election 2016 showing they are likely to get 202 seats out of 294 whereas Left-Congress alliance will likely get only 84 seats.


As per detail survey carried out by “Maa Mati Manush” (Ma Mati Manush) blog in all assembly constituencies in West Bengal it had found that alleged media (ABP-Ananda & 24-Ghanta) sponsored Lefts (Mainly CPIM) & Congress (INC) alliance will face a big defeat in the hand of Trinamool Congress (TMC).
It is also showing that BJP is almost negligible force in West Bengal as they will likely get only 3 seats.

Our team carried out surveys in between  22nd  Feb’16 to 8th Mar’16 and visited 242 assembly constituencies out of 294 in Bengal. We have collected opinion of around 100 to 250 peoples from each constituency, all total we have got the opinion from more than 40000 voters spread upon all sections of the society.

I believe this 40,000 sample size by Maa-Mati-Manush Blog is the largest sample size ever taken for an opinion poll survey for a state in India.

Remember this opinion poll survey was done after announcement of Left (CPM) – Congress alliance and after tremendous Anti-Trinamool campaign by “Prestitute-Media” mainly ABP-News group’s  “ABP-Ananda” and Zee-News group’s “24-Ghanta” is doing 24*7 Anti-Propaganda against Mamata Banerjee and Trinamool Congress.

Surprisingly this survey shows increase in seats from our previous survey (just two months back) for Trinamool Congress..

Now as per our opinion poll survey most likely result will be as follows:

Party          2011 Seats           2016 Projection
                      (Vote%)                 Seats (Vote%)

TMC                  184 (39%)                202 (47%)
 Left                    60 (30%)                  54 (29%)
 Cong                  42  (9%)                   30 (7%)
 BJP                     00  (4%)                   03 (12%)
 Oth                     08 (18%)                    05 (5%)
 

These survey result once again shows that people of Bengal rejected all sorts of yellow journalism & paid stories by section of Bengal & National media. 

It is also proving that Bengal is disapproving so called communal forces that spread lots of rumors to disturb Bengal’s communal harmony. 

People of Bengal are also rejecting watermelon leaders of Bengal-Congress + Lefts completely.
 

Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" or from "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks please post. 
Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.