2014 Indian Parliamentary Elections (15th Loksabha) Predictions Based on Survey & Opinion Polls- Results shows NDA (primarily BJP) is far ahead of UPA (primarily Congress) but 45 seats short of majority marks.. It also shows Trinamool Congress (AITMC) is emerging as third largest party after BJP & Congress.

The BJP looks set to emerge as the single largest party in 2014 with 202 seats, far ahead of the Congress tally of 107. But even with its allies, the BJP lead NDA looks likely to be 45 seats short of a majority, leaving several regional players holding the key to power in central. Thus it seems to a hung parliament in 15^th Loksabha in 2014.
 

 Survey also shows Trinamool Congress (AITMC) is emerging as third largest party after BJP & Congress with 31 seats followed by BSP with 26, SP with 23, AIADMK with 20 seats & Lefts with just 14 seats in their tally.

The NDA is projected to get 227 and the UPA just 136, which leaves 180 seats with others. Some of the biggest among them are mutually incompatible like the Trinamool and the Left Front or BSP and SP. That could make government formation an extremely complicated exercise come May next year.  Although it seems after 2014 LS poll Lefts will lose its importance in national politics except in few left minded media.

These are the major findings of the first nation wise survey & opinion polls by Ma Mati Manush Blog carried out throughout the nation in October’13. This projection suggests that the majority mark of 272 in the 543-member Lok Sabha will not be achieved by any pre-election formation.

Name of the parties -   2009seats won  -  2014 projected seats

1 Indian National Congress(INC) 206  107 2 Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP) 116 202 3 Samajwadi Party(SP) 22 23 4 Bahujan Samaj Party(BSP) 21 26 5 All India Trinamool Congress(AITC) 19 31 6 Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)) 19 10 7 Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(DMK) 18 11 8 Communist Party of India (Marxist)(CPI(M)) 16 8 9 Biju Janata Dal(BJD) 14 12 10 Shiv Sena(SS) 11 9 11 All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(AIADMK) 9 20 12 Independent(Ind.) 9  6 13 Nationalist Congress Party(NCP) 9 6 14 Telugu Desam Party(TDP) 6 9 15 Rashtriya Lok Dal(RLD) 5 3 16 Communist Party of India(CPI) 4 3 17 Shiromani Akali Dal(SAD) 4 5 18 Jammu and Kashmir National Conference(J&KNC) 3  3 19 Rashtriya Janata Dal(RJD) 3  8 20 All India Forward Bloc(AIFB) 2 2 21 Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) 2 2 22 Jharkhand Mukti Morcha(JMM) 2  3 23 Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (Prajatantrik)(JVM (P)) 2 1 24 Revolutionary Socialist Party(RSP) 2  1 25 Telangana Rashtra Samithi(TRS) 2 10 26 Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party(YSR Congress Party) 2 11 27 All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen(AIMIM) 1 1 28 All India United Democratic Front(AIUDF) 1 1 29 Asom Gana Parishad(AGP) 1 1 30 Bahujan Vikas Aaghadi(BVA) 1 0 31 Bodoland Peoples Front(BPF) 1 1 32 Haryana Janhit Congress (BL) (HJC) 1 1 33 Janata Dal (Secular)(JD(S)) 1  1 34 Kerala Congress (M) (KC(M)) 1 0 35 Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(MDMK) 1 1 36 Sikkim Democratic Front(SDF) 1 1 37 Swabhimani Paksha(SWP) 1 0 38 Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi(VCK) 1 1   39    Am Admi Party (AAP)                                                                   0        2 2014 Projected results: NDA Total:  227,  UPA Total:  136, AITMC:         31, BSP:             26,  SP:                23, AIADMK:      20,  LEFTS:         14,  BJD:             12, YSR-C:         11,  JDU:             10,  Independent: 6, Others:         27. Earlier the opinion poll survey of West Bengal is showing AITMC (Trinamool Congress) is all set to win more than 30 Loksabha seats.. First time any survey is giving each constituency wise projection for West Bengal. Details Survey Link: http://mamatimanushofwb.blogspot.in/2013/10/opinion-poll-survey-of-west-bengal-is.html    2014 Loksabha Seats Projection By MA-MATI-MANUSH Blog. Please see other posts in this blog page  by clicking "Home" or from  "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections,  and if any remarks plaese post.  Thanks & Vande Mataram!!  Saroop Chattopadhyay.