With over
80% turnout recorded in 5phases (6round) of West Bengal assembly election 2016
completed today with only few stray incidents plus lots of Dramabazi by CPM
& BJP workers plus BJP’s ‘C’ graded actress cum politicians like Rupa
Ganguly (Roopa Ganguly) & Locket Chatterjee. Also voting was under
extraordinary supervision of Election Commission allegedly directed by BJP
& Left.
In spite
of opposition directed election commission doing their best to prevent Trinamool Congress (TMC) from
victory people of Bengal is choosing Mamata Banerjee and her party as
victorious and media is vigorously campaigning against TMC still it’s clear
that people of Bengal are still with their beloved Didi Mamata Banerjee.
Prediction
and exit poll showing after 5 phases of Bengal Poll 2016 TMC (AITC) is surely getting 162 seats out of 269 whereas Left +
Congress alliance is getting 68 seats and BJP is getting only 9 seats and 30
seats are hung (Marginal).
Here are
the full details of prediction/exit poll:
Round
|
Seats
|
TMC
|
Left+Cong
|
BJP
|
Marginal
(Can’t Predict)
|
1A
|
18
|
14
|
02
|
01
|
01
|
1B
|
31
|
20
|
06
|
02
|
03
|
2nd
|
56
|
25
|
21
|
02
|
08
|
3rd
|
62
|
30
|
23
|
01
|
08
|
4th
|
49
|
33
|
09
|
02
|
05
|
5th
|
53
|
40
|
07
|
01
|
05
|
Total
|
269
|
162
|
68
|
09
|
30
|
Now as per my calculation out of these 30 marginal seats TMC will
get 18, Left+Congress will get 9, BJP will get 1 and others will get 2.
Considering this fact my prediction after 5 phases (6round) of
election in West Bengal is as follows:
Total Seats (Till 5th Phase): 269
TMC : 180
Left + Congress : 77
BJP : 10
Others
: 02
Please see other posts in this blog page by clicking "Home" "Popular Posts" / "Archives" sections, and if any remarks please post. Thanks & Vande Mataram!! Saroop Chattopadhyay.
Good analysis.. Mostly agreed..
ReplyDeleteThe analysis given is realistic. It would have been better if the vote share too was given.I personally feel, though I'm no psephologist, that if this is the trend then the TMC may romp home with 200+ seats. But, taking into consideration the internal feud in the party, the numbers may change a bit. Even then, TMC's tally is unlikely to slide lower than 196 mark. This is my gut feeling. However, the manner in which the reportings in a section of the corporate media are being made, is really obnoxious and are creating confusions even in the minds of some TMC workers.
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